Betting on preseason games requires a bit more nuance than regular season NFL matchups. Historical preseason betting trends can help get our bearing, but from there, we'll need to track news about playing time.
What do the trends and news point to? Where is there value on the NFL betting lines at FanDuel Sportsbook?
Bears at Seahawks
Quick Game Notes
With a short week for these teams that just played on Saturday, we're not going to see a ton of starter reps -- at least for one side.
Head coach Matt Eberflus said that the Chicago Bears' starters will play around 6 to 10 snaps, so maybe a series or two.
For the Seattle Seahawks, head coach Pete Carroll seems set on playing starting quarterback Geno Smith at least the first half after backup Drew Lock tested positive for COVID-19.
Seahawks Moneyline (-160)
Seahawks -3.0 (-110)
Given the discrepancy between the quarterback play and the Bears' plans to take it easy with starters, we should feel pretty good with the Seahawks here.
Last week, Justin Fields took two sacks on just nine drop backs and ultimately averaged -0.19 EPA per drop back. I know it's a small sample, but hey.
Smith went for 101 yards on 15 attempts (6.7 yards per attempt) in the opening game for Seattle.
Since 2019, 3.0-point preseason favorites are 10-7 outright and 8-7-2 against the spread.