Just how likely is a homer from a certain player tonight? How many runs will Team X score? And can the pitcher you're eying go over his strikeout prop?
To find out, I leveraged numberFire's batter and pitcher projections plus team implied totals to try to answer those questions.
Here are today's results to help us navigate daily fantasy baseball and betting opportunities at FanDuel Sportsbook.
(Please note that these projections are subject to change throughout the day and as lineups are confirmed. To see the most current projections, check out our projections pages.)
Team Run Total Projections
| Team | Opp SP | O/U | ImpliedTotal | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
| CHW | CarlosHernandez | 9.5 | 5.05 | 39.3% | 24.5% | 13.9% | 7.1% | 3.4% |
| NYY | BruceZimmermann | 8.0 | 4.64 | 32.1% | 18.7% | 9.9% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| HOU | GlennOtto | 8.0 | 4.62 | 31.8% | 18.5% | 9.7% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| BOS | GeorgeKirby | 8.5 | 4.45 | 28.9% | 16.3% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| KC | VinceVelasquez | 9.5 | 4.45 | 28.9% | 16.3% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| CLE | TylerMahle | 8.0 | 4.22 | 25.0% | 13.5% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| PHI | YuDarvish | 8.0 | 4.10 | 23.1% | 12.1% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| SEA | RichHill | 8.5 | 4.05 | 22.3% | 11.6% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| ARI | MarcusStroman | 8.0 | 4.02 | 21.8% | 11.3% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| CHC | ZacGallen | 8.0 | 3.98 | 21.2% | 10.9% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| NYM | DakotaHudson | 7.0 | 3.91 | 20.1% | 10.2% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| SD | KyleGibson | 8.0 | 3.90 | 19.9% | 10.1% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| CIN | CalQuantrill | 8.0 | 3.78 | 18.1% | 8.9% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| TEX | FramberValdez | 8.0 | 3.38 | 12.7% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| BAL | JordanMontgomery | 8.0 | 3.36 | 12.4% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| STL | ChrisBassitt | 7.0 | 3.09 | 9.3% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Pitcher Strikeout Projections
| Pitcher | Opp | KProj | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | 9+ |
| ChrisBassitt | STL | 6.1 | 85.8% | 72.9% | 57.2% | 41.1% | 27.1% | 16.4% | 9.2% |
| TylerMahle | CLE | 5.9 | 83.5% | 69.4% | 53.0% | 37.0% | 23.6% | 13.8% | 7.4% |
| FramberValdez | TEX | 5.8 | 82.7% | 68.3% | 51.7% | 35.7% | 22.5% | 13.0% | 6.9% |
| YuDarvish | PHI | 5.7 | 82.2% | 67.6% | 50.8% | 34.9% | 21.8% | 12.5% | 6.6% |
| ZacGallen | CHC | 5.4 | 78.6% | 62.5% | 45.2% | 29.7% | 17.7% | 9.7% | 4.8% |
| JordanMontgomery | BAL | 5.1 | 75.1% | 58.0% | 40.5% | 25.6% | 14.6% | 7.6% | 3.6% |
| KyleGibson | SD | 4.9 | 72.5% | 54.7% | 37.2% | 22.8% | 12.6% | 6.4% | 2.9% |
| CalQuantrill | CIN | 4.9 | 72.5% | 54.7% | 37.2% | 22.8% | 12.6% | 6.4% | 2.9% |
| VinceVelasquez | KC | 4.8 | 70.1% | 51.8% | 34.4% | 20.5% | 11.0% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
| RichHill | SEA | 4.6 | 67.8% | 49.1% | 31.8% | 18.5% | 9.7% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| CarlosHernandez | CHW | 4.3 | 62.1% | 42.8% | 26.2% | 14.3% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| GlennOtto | HOU | 4.0 | 56.7% | 37.1% | 21.5% | 11.1% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| BruceZimmermann | NYY | 3.7 | 51.0% | 31.7% | 17.3% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| DakotaHudson | NYM | 3.6 | 48.7% | 29.5% | 15.7% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| GeorgeKirby | BOS | 3.5 | 46.8% | 27.8% | 14.5% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| MarcusStroman | ARI | 3.1 | 36.8% | 19.7% | 9.1% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Daily Batter Home Run Projections
You can view all home run props at FanDuel Sportsbook here.
| Batter | Team | OppPitcher | ProjHR | HRProbability | xHROdds |
| JoeyGallo | NYY | BruceZimmermann | 0.39 | 25.6% | +291 |
| JoseRamirez | CLE | TylerMahle | 0.37 | 24.7% | +304 |
| RafaelDevers | BOS | GeorgeKirby | 0.35 | 23.8% | +319 |
| JordanLuplow | ARI | MarcusStroman | 0.33 | 22.9% | +336 |
| AnthonyRizzo | NYY | BruceZimmermann | 0.31 | 21.9% | +356 |
| GiancarloStanton | NYY | BruceZimmermann | 0.30 | 21.4% | +367 |
| NickCastellanos | PHI | YuDarvish | 0.29 | 20.9% | +378 |
| KyleSchwarber | PHI | YuDarvish | 0.29 | 20.9% | +378 |
| J.D.Martinez | BOS | GeorgeKirby | 0.28 | 20.4% | +391 |
| JoseAltuve | HOU | GlennOtto | 0.28 | 20.4% | +391 |
| BryceHarper | PHI | YuDarvish | 0.28 | 20.4% | +391 |
| A.J.Pollock | CHW | CarlosHernandez | 0.26 | 19.3% | +418 |
| MannyMachado | SD | KyleGibson | 0.26 | 19.3% | +418 |
| AaronJudge | NYY | BruceZimmermann | 0.26 | 19.3% | +418 |
| RhysHoskins | PHI | YuDarvish | 0.26 | 19.3% | +418 |
| YordanAlvarez | HOU | GlennOtto | 0.26 | 19.3% | +418 |
| AnthonySantander | BAL | JordanMontgomery | 0.25 | 18.7% | +434 |
| YasmaniGrandal | CHW | CarlosHernandez | 0.24 | 18.2% | +451 |
| DaultonVarsho | ARI | MarcusStroman | 0.24 | 18.2% | +451 |
| WillsonContreras | CHC | ZacGallen | 0.23 | 17.6% | +469 |
| LuisTorrens | SEA | RichHill | 0.23 | 17.6% | +469 |
| KyleTucker | HOU | GlennOtto | 0.23 | 17.6% | +469 |
| GavinSheets | CHW | CarlosHernandez | 0.23 | 17.6% | +469 |
| EugenioSuarez | SEA | RichHill | 0.22 | 17.0% | +490 |
| ChristianWalker | ARI | MarcusStroman | 0.22 | 17.0% | +490 |
| LuisRobert | CHW | CarlosHernandez | 0.22 | 17.0% | +490 |
| ChasMcCormick | HOU | GlennOtto | 0.22 | 17.0% | +490 |
| DJLeMahieu | NYY | BruceZimmermann | 0.21 | 16.3% | +512 |
| PaulGoldschmidt | STL | ChrisBassitt | 0.21 | 16.3% | +512 |
| JoseAbreu | CHW | CarlosHernandez | 0.21 | 16.3% | +512 |
| JesseWinker | SEA | RichHill | 0.21 | 16.3% | +512 |
| PatrickWisdom | CHC | ZacGallen | 0.21 | 16.3% | +512 |
| FranciscoLindor | NYM | DakotaHudson | 0.20 | 15.7% | +536 |
| TrevorStory | BOS | GeorgeKirby | 0.20 | 15.7% | +536 |
| PeteAlonso | NYM | DakotaHudson | 0.20 | 15.7% | +536 |
| JoshDonaldson | NYY | BruceZimmermann | 0.19 | 15.1% | +564 |
| BrandonDrury | CIN | CalQuantrill | 0.19 | 15.1% | +564 |
| LukeVoit | SD | KyleGibson | 0.19 | 15.1% | +564 |
| J.T.Realmuto | PHI | YuDarvish | 0.18 | 14.4% | +594 |
| CoreySeager | TEX | FramberValdez | 0.18 | 14.4% | +594 |
| ColinMoran | CIN | CalQuantrill | 0.18 | 14.4% | +594 |
| TylerStephenson | CIN | CalQuantrill | 0.18 | 14.4% | +594 |
| JeanSegura | PHI | YuDarvish | 0.17 | 13.7% | +628 |
| HunterDozier | KC | VinceVelasquez | 0.17 | 13.7% | +628 |
| TylerO'Neill | STL | ChrisBassitt | 0.17 | 13.7% | +628 |
| AdolisGarcia | TEX | FramberValdez | 0.17 | 13.7% | +628 |
| AustinHedges | CLE | TylerMahle | 0.16 | 13.1% | +666 |
| TyFrance | SEA | RichHill | 0.16 | 13.1% | +666 |
| JakeHager | ARI | MarcusStroman | 0.16 | 13.1% | +666 |
| BobbyWittJr. | KC | VinceVelasquez | 0.16 | 13.1% | +666 |
| AlekThomas | ARI | MarcusStroman | 0.16 | 13.1% | +666 |
| CarlosSantana | KC | VinceVelasquez | 0.15 | 12.4% | +709 |
| MikeMoustakas | CIN | CalQuantrill | 0.15 | 12.4% | +709 |
| NolanArenado | STL | ChrisBassitt | 0.15 | 12.4% | +709 |
| TreyMancini | BAL | JordanMontgomery | 0.15 | 12.4% | +709 |
| AlexBregman | HOU | GlennOtto | 0.15 | 12.4% | +709 |
| FranchyCordero | BOS | GeorgeKirby | 0.15 | 12.4% | +709 |
| DylanMoore | SEA | RichHill | 0.15 | 12.4% | +709 |
| JulioRodriguez | SEA | RichHill | 0.15 | 12.4% | +709 |
| EnriqueHernandez | BOS | GeorgeKirby | 0.14 | 11.6% | +759 |
| OdubelHerrera | PHI | YuDarvish | 0.14 | 11.6% | +759 |
| YulieskiGurriel | HOU | GlennOtto | 0.14 | 11.6% | +759 |
| OwenMiller | CLE | TylerMahle | 0.14 | 11.6% | +759 |
| EduardoEscobar | NYM | DakotaHudson | 0.13 | 10.9% | +816 |
| MichaelBrantley | HOU | GlennOtto | 0.13 | 10.9% | +816 |
| XanderBogaerts | BOS | GeorgeKirby | 0.13 | 10.9% | +816 |
| TommyPham | CIN | CalQuantrill | 0.13 | 10.9% | +816 |
| GleyberTorres | NYY | BruceZimmermann | 0.13 | 10.9% | +816 |
| CedricMullins | BAL | JordanMontgomery | 0.13 | 10.9% | +816 |
| AndrewVaughn | CHW | CarlosHernandez | 0.13 | 10.9% | +816 |
| BrysonStott | PHI | YuDarvish | 0.13 | 10.9% | +816 |
| MartinMaldonado | HOU | GlennOtto | 0.12 | 10.2% | +883 |
| ChrisOwings | BAL | JordanMontgomery | 0.12 | 10.2% | +883 |
| AmedRosario | CLE | TylerMahle | 0.12 | 10.2% | +883 |
| JonahHeim | TEX | FramberValdez | 0.12 | 10.2% | +883 |
| PavinSmith | ARI | MarcusStroman | 0.12 | 10.2% | +883 |
| Ha-SeongKim | SD | KyleGibson | 0.12 | 10.2% | +883 |
| GeraldoPerdomo | ARI | MarcusStroman | 0.12 | 10.2% | +883 |
| AlfonsoRivas | CHC | ZacGallen | 0.12 | 10.2% | +883 |
| JeremyPena | HOU | GlennOtto | 0.12 | 10.2% | +883 |
| MJMelendez | KC | VinceVelasquez | 0.12 | 10.2% | +883 |
| KoleCalhoun | TEX | FramberValdez | 0.11 | 9.4% | +962 |
| TimAnderson | CHW | CarlosHernandez | 0.11 | 9.4% | +962 |
| TylerNaquin | CIN | CalQuantrill | 0.11 | 9.4% | +962 |
| YoanMoncada | CHW | CarlosHernandez | 0.11 | 9.4% | +962 |
| IanHapp | CHC | ZacGallen | 0.11 | 9.4% | +962 |
| HarrisonBader | STL | ChrisBassitt | 0.11 | 9.4% | +962 |
| AustinHays | BAL | JordanMontgomery | 0.11 | 9.4% | +962 |
| OscarMercado | CLE | TylerMahle | 0.11 | 9.4% | +962 |
| JoshRojas | ARI | MarcusStroman | 0.11 | 9.4% | +962 |
| TylerNevin | BAL | JordanMontgomery | 0.11 | 9.4% | +962 |
| CalRaleigh | SEA | RichHill | 0.11 | 9.4% | +962 |
| TJFriedl | CIN | CalQuantrill | 0.11 | 9.4% | +962 |
| EricHosmer | SD | KyleGibson | 0.10 | 8.6% | +1058 |
| RobinsonChirinos | BAL | JordanMontgomery | 0.10 | 8.6% | +1058 |
| CharlieCulberson | TEX | FramberValdez | 0.10 | 8.6% | +1058 |
| JuricksonProfar | SD | KyleGibson | 0.10 | 8.6% | +1058 |
| LeuryGarcia | CHW | CarlosHernandez | 0.10 | 8.6% | +1058 |
| MattReynolds | CIN | CalQuantrill | 0.10 | 8.6% | +1058 |
| BrandonNimmo | NYM | DakotaHudson | 0.10 | 8.6% | +1058 |
| AndrewBenintendi | KC | VinceVelasquez | 0.10 | 8.6% | +1058 |
| AlexVerdugo | BOS | GeorgeKirby | 0.10 | 8.6% | +1058 |
| JuanYepez | STL | ChrisBassitt | 0.10 | 8.6% | +1058 |
| SeiyaSuzuki | CHC | ZacGallen | 0.10 | 8.6% | +1058 |
| YadierMolina | STL | ChrisBassitt | 0.09 | 7.8% | +1174 |
| WilMyers | SD | KyleGibson | 0.09 | 7.8% | +1174 |
| JonathanVillar | CHC | ZacGallen | 0.09 | 7.8% | +1174 |
| MarcusSemien | TEX | FramberValdez | 0.09 | 7.8% | +1174 |
| DavidPeralta | ARI | MarcusStroman | 0.09 | 7.8% | +1174 |
| MichaelTaylor | KC | VinceVelasquez | 0.09 | 7.8% | +1174 |
| MarkCanha | NYM | DakotaHudson | 0.09 | 7.8% | +1174 |
| KyleFarmer | CIN | CalQuantrill | 0.09 | 7.8% | +1174 |
| DominicSmith | NYM | DakotaHudson | 0.09 | 7.8% | +1174 |
| JoseTrevino | NYY | BruceZimmermann | 0.09 | 7.8% | +1174 |
| TommyEdman | STL | ChrisBassitt | 0.09 | 7.8% | +1174 |
| TrentGrisham | SD | KyleGibson | 0.09 | 7.8% | +1174 |
| AlecBohm | PHI | YuDarvish | 0.09 | 7.8% | +1174 |
| BrendanDonovan | STL | ChrisBassitt | 0.09 | 7.8% | +1174 |
| RafaelOrtega | CHC | ZacGallen | 0.08 | 7.0% | +1320 |
| AaronHicks | NYY | BruceZimmermann | 0.08 | 7.0% | +1320 |
| J.P.Crawford | SEA | RichHill | 0.08 | 7.0% | +1320 |
| MylesStraw | CLE | TylerMahle | 0.08 | 7.0% | +1320 |
| DylanCarlson | STL | ChrisBassitt | 0.08 | 7.0% | +1320 |
| RichiePalacios | CLE | TylerMahle | 0.08 | 7.0% | +1320 |
| TomasNido | NYM | DakotaHudson | 0.07 | 6.2% | +1507 |
| JorgeMateo | BAL | JordanMontgomery | 0.07 | 6.2% | +1507 |
| AndresGimenez | CLE | TylerMahle | 0.07 | 6.2% | +1507 |