The number of teams remaining in the NCAA Tournament is dwindling, and Sunday is already the second night of the Elite Eight. After the final buzzer of the weekend, only four teams will be left standing.
Filling out a bracket is the main attraction for most sports fans this time of year, but the fun doesn't have to stop there. It's also the perfect opportunity to place some bets on the college basketball odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.
And don't forget to make your picks for the Xfinity Mobile Pick'Em & Roll. All you have to do is answer questions about the remaining round's outcomes. The more you get right, the more cash you could win. Get your picks in each round for your chance at a share of $10,000!
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Which bets should draw our attention this weekend? Let's find out.
Please note that lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published. Please check here to make sure you're seeing the most updated information.
Creighton (6) vs. San Diego State (5)
Over 133.5 (-110)
San Diego State Aztecs +1.5 (-105)
This is a tight projected game with the Creighton Bluejays favored by 1.5 points after stopping the Princeton Tigers in the Sweet 16 on Friday by a final score of 86-75, virtually the same score they beat the Baylor Bears by (85-76) in the second round.
Creighton has scored 72, 85, and 86 points in their three tournament games and is averaging 77.0 per game for the full season. Their offense is a top-22 unit according to the adjusted offensive ratings of KenPom, BartTorvik, and Sports-Reference.
The San Diego State Aztecs do have a top-10 adjusted defense, according to those three sources. They've held opponents to 57, 52, and 64 points in the tournament so far, but those include two teams outside the top 40 in consensus offense, and for as good as the Alabama Crimson Tide is overall, they were a top-15 or top-20 unit offensively and still put up 64 points despite shooting just 11.1% from the three-point arc.
numberFire's model sees the offense winning out in this game and rates the over as a four-star play.
It also views the Aztecs as 56.3% likely to cover as 1.5-point underdogs.
Miami (5) vs. Texas (2)
Miami (FL) Hurricanes +3.5 (-110)
This game is a bit tougher to find value in. The spread is larger, with the Texas Longhorns favored by 3.5 points. Our model does think Texas should be favored (54.7% likely to win), but it also thinks that the Hurricanes are 57.1% likely to cover as underdogs.
That'll require slowing down the Texas offense, which has averaged 78.3 points per game in the tournament (actually fewer than Miami's 79.0 points per game in the Big Dance).
But the Texas offense is shooting 43.8% from the three-point arc through three tournament games, up substantially from their middling full-season rate of 34.5% (ranking them 147th in the nation). For context, Colgate Raiders (coincidentally Texas' first-round opponent) led the nation this season at 40.8%, so some shooting regression has to be coming for the Longhorns eventually.
Although Miami's three-point field goal percentage is up in the tournament (39.4%) from the full season (37.0%), too, Miami was a top-30 three-point shooting team all season. If they can force this one into a shootout, they have the long-term edge from deep. Texas doesn't exactly limit three-point attempts either (they're 108th in three-point attempt rate allowed defensively).