The Premier League campaign is winding down, and we're firmly at the business end of the season.
Which EPL soccer lines offer value this week on FanDuel Sportsbook?
Let's see where we can zero in.
Please note that lines are subject to change after this article is published, which impacts betting advice. All betting lines were taken from FanDuel Sportsbook, and you can check here to see the most updated numbers.
Tottenham at Aston Villa
Aston Villa Over 1.5 Goals (+104)
Tottenham have been brutal away from home this season, especially defensively, and this recommendation is a bet on that continuing Saturday at Villa Park.
Across 17 away league fixtures, Spurs have permitted 35 goals, the fifth-most in the EPL. Over their past two away matches, Tottenham have conceded six at Newcastle and four at Liverpool. While those are two of the toughest away grounds in the league, Tottenham also shipped three goals at Southampton back in mid-March.
It's not just away games where Spurs are leaking goals as they have allowed at least two goals in four of their last five matches overall.
Despite losing two straight and not scoring in either match, Villa come into this game in pretty good form. Prior to the past two, the Villans had won 8 of their previous 10 matches, and they've scored at least twice in three of their last four home games.
When these two tangled in London earlier this year, Villa walked away a 2-0 winner. I like their chances to put at least two past Spurs again, and I'll happily roll the dice on it at this plus-money number.
Bournemouth at Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace Moneyline (-115)
Not that long ago, Bournemouth were a heavy favorite to go down, but the Cherries have risen above the relegation scrap -- sitting 14th with 39 points -- and will enjoy another season in the Premier League next campaign.
While the Cherries deserve a lot of credit for their unlikely second-half surge and for getting the results they've gotten, they've ridden their luck a bit. Once you pop the hood, Bournemouth's underlying stats paint them as one of the EPL's worst sides.
By expected goal (xG) differential, Bournemouth sit next to last with a clip of -23.1, according to FBRef's xG model. That's just 0.9 away from being the worst mark in the league. They're next to last in road xG differential, too, at -17.1. And it's not just xG that views the Cherries unfavorably as Bournemouth's actual goal difference of -30 is the second-worst in the EPL.
Crystal Palace look a good bit better in all facets. The Eagles' xG differential of -10.1 ranks 13th, and Palace have won the xG battle in three straight home matches.
In the reverse fixture, Palace went to Bournemouth and won by a 2-0 score -- a win that was backed up by an xG total of 1.6-0.6 in favor of Palace.
I am backing the Eagles' superiority to shine through on Saturday and for them to take all three points.
Eberechi Eze to Score or Assist (+115): Eze is having a breakout campaign for Palace, tallying eight goals with three assists in 27 EPL starts. He's been in good form, scoring four times over his past six matches, and he can take advantage of a soft matchup with the Cherries. Working in our favor is Eze's free-kick duties, something that gives him extra chances to score or assist.
Idrissa Gueye to Be Booked (+195): Everton are at home versus Manchester City, and that should mean a busy 90 minutes for Gueye. The Everton midfielder has been carded in three of his past five matches, including two straight, and his tackling should be needed early and often against a City team that keeps the ball as well as anyone. All it takes is one bad challenge for Gueye to see yellow.