Which EPL soccer lines offer value this week on FanDuel Sportsbook?
Let's see where we can zero in.
Please note that lines are subject to change after this article is published, which impacts betting advice. All betting lines were taken from FanDuel Sportsbook, and you can check here to see the most updated numbers.
Liverpool vs. Chelsea
Chelsea to win +310
Liverpool and Chelsea have both had disappointing starts to their seasons, with Liverpool going 8W-4D-6L and Chelsea holding a 8-4-7 record. The two teams are tied on points (one game in hand for Liverpool), yet Liverpool are sizable favorites to win the match.
Liverpool have struggled all season and have had a particularly difficult time in recent matches, with losses to Brentford (3-1) and Brighton (3-0) over their last two games. Brentford and Brighton find themselves in seventh and eighth place, respectively -- currently one and two points ahead of Liverpool and Chelsea.
Liverpool have struggled against mid-table teams, and Chelsea are an extremely talented mid-table side with aspirations to move up the table before the season is over. Liverpool certainly have a good chance to get back on track with a victory, but at almost 3-1 for a draw or Chelsea win, the logical betting option is to pick against Liverpool until they prove they are out of their slump.
Bournemouth vs. Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest to win +170
Nottingham Forest are on a two-game winning streak, and they are 3-2-1 in their last six games, elevating themselves out of the relegation zone and into 13th. They face a Bournemouth team going in the opposite direction, as Bournemouth have lost their last four games by a combined score of 10-0.
Forest are in better form than Bournemouth, and they have outperformed Bournemouth over the course of the season, with a -7.9 expected goal differential (xGD), per FB Ref, compared to a league-worst -17.4 xGD for Bournemouth. This predictive measure significantly favors Forest, as Bournemouth are by far the worst team in the league based on xGD.
Bournemouth are 1-0-8 in their last nine games, with the only victory in that span coming against 19th-place Everton. Forest are proving themselves to be better than we should they'd be, and this game is another opportunity for Forest to move even further out of the relegation race.
West Ham vs. Everton
West Ham to win -130
This game features 18th-place West Ham and 19th-place Everton in a matchup between unexpected relegation candidates.
However, Everton have earned their spot in 19th place with an xGD of -11.4, which ranks 19th in the league. On the flip side, the Hammers actually have a positive xGD at +1.6, indicating they are experiencing some bad luck and could be on the verge of a resurgence.
West Ham will have home-field advantage, and they are desperate for a win given where they find themselves in the standings. This is as good a chance as any to get one, and it is close to a must-win game for the Hammers. They should be up for the challenge against a poor Everton side.