Picking winners of a golf tournament is hard. Doing it consistently is downright impossible. But finding value is something all bettors must practice in order to give themselves the best chance to make hay when the day comes that they ping a champion.
Below, we will cover the best bets for the Sanderson Farms Championship based on current form, course fit, and -- of course -- the value of their golf betting odds over at FanDuel Sportsbook.
In our return to action post-Presidents Cup, we encounter another blended field of old hands with loads of PGA Tour experience and Korn Ferry grads. But we are (mostly) devoid of top-tier talent. Sam Burns defends his title as the favorite at +950, and while he's proven over the past few years that he can do plenty well as a favorite or a defending champ, 19/2 is simply too short coming off a busy Presidents Cup appearance.
Burns could well repeat, as his combination of driving, iron play, and timely putting on Bermuda make him a classic Sanderson champion. We can't find many combinations of all those skills among the rest of the field, but we can still dig up some value on this board all the same.
For more info on Country Club of Jackson along with this week's key stats and Brandon Gdula's win simulations, check out Brandon's article.
At The Top
Seamus Power (+3700) - Tie for 9th at the PGA Championship and tie for 12th at the U.S. Open were the highlights of Power's follow-up in 2022 to a career year the season prior. He stumbled to a close, missing the cut at The Open and the FedEx St. Jude Championship before finishing 65th of 67 players at the BMW Championship. We'll thank these struggles for a nice number this week, and hopefully, some time away and a much softer field and course can get Power back on track. He played well last fall aside from a missed cut here, but he does have two top 20s to his CC of Jackson record. Power has a well-rounded, top-50 game that stands above most in these early-season fields.
Byeong-Hun An (+5000) - Our old friend made a splash in his return to the PGA Tour -- in the mix all week and ultimately finishing 4th at the Fortinet Championship. He was third here three years ago, and once upon a time, An was an excellent driver with an elite short game that led the Tour in strokes gained: around the green in the 2018-19 season. He's doing the right stuff in his first event, where he ranked fourth in both strokes gained: off the tee and strokes gained: around the green. The putter is and will always be the drawback, but if he can just putt to the field average, he should be able to stay in the mix.
Dean Burmester (+5500) - A big-hitting South African who closed the season strongly gets his first crack at a PGA field, and we like Burmester to make another splash this week. After impressive T10 and T11 finishes at the Scottish Open and The Open Championship, respectively, he moved to the Korn Ferry Tour to try to earn his card and promptly picked up two top-five finishes in three events. He was 13th in strokes gained: off the tee on the DP World Tour last season and 10th around the greens. He won twice in 2021 on the Sunshine Tour and had two runner-ups in co-sanctioned events earlier this year, and in a weak (for the PGA Tour) field, Burmester has a fighting chance this week.
Carl Yuan (+7500) - Yuan surely had PGA Tour jitters in his first event as a new member at the Fortinet Championship. He flashed some major upside, albeit with high variance, on the Korn Ferry Tour last season. His 2021-22 included a win and eight other top 10s -- but also nine missed cuts. Winning upside makes Yuan a good target at 75/1 in this weak field, one that includes many of the folks he routinely beat on the lower circuit, where he was first on the regular-season points list. He was seventh on the Forn Ferry Tour in driving distance, a whopping 320.7 yards per drive.
Mark Hubbard (+9000) - Hubbard's driver cannot match the drivers of the other guys on our card, but he strikes it well with his irons and can be a streaky putter. Two top-25s in three events last fall and a T21 in Napa to start this season, as well as strong finishes in summer fields toward the end of the season, signal Hubbard's ability to excel against weaker fields. He hasn't impressed in two trips to Jackson, missing the cut in his only two appearances, but the man they call Homeless Hubbs going off against a weak field is still a value at 90/1.