Player props can be useful in a variety of ways, from taking advantage of them straight up within the betting market to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball.
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Please note that betting lines and our player projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Marcus Smart Over 24.5 Points, Rebonds, and Assists (-118)
With Game 5 of the NBA Finals on tap for tonight, let's take a look at some player props to consider.
Tonight's game features another close 4.0-point spread and an over/under sitting at 210.5, which would be the lowest total of the series thus far.
If we turn to the prop market, Marcus Smart's points, rebounds, and assists (PRA) prop is sitting at 24.5 points and I'm going with the over.
He's been over this mark in three of the four games in this series, and it's mainly due to the fact he has 18 real-life points or more in three of the games. In those three games, Smart has taken at least seven three-point attempts, making at least three of them.
He has been scoring consistently from the outside, and he's always all over the court to fill up the stat sheet with rebounds and assists.
numberFire's projections have Smart going for 14.1 points, 4.2 rebounds, and 6.7 assists for a grand total of 25.0 combined PRA.
Robert Williams Over 7.5 Rebounds (-120)
The rebounding prop for Robert Williams seems a bit too low tonight.
That prop is sitting at 7.5 tonight for Williams, and I love the over. Williams is technically listed as questionable for tonight's game, but that's a tag he's been carrying throughout the series. He's played at least 24 minutes in three of the four games, including a series-high 31 minutes in the most recent games. I'm expecting him to play but the injury has to be noted.
Williams has been over the 7.5 mark in each of the last two games, going for 10 and 12 rebounds. He's averaging 7.5 rebounds per game against the Warriors, and numberFire's projection has him at 9.0 rebounds tonight.
This is a clear spot to jump on tonight -- especially if you are leaning towards the under on the total. The under correlates with more missed shots, which means more rebounds in turn.