With 11 games on Tuesday's main slate, there are plenty of appealing arms and stacks to choose from tonight. Rain shouldn't be a factor for the most part, but some precipitation is expected in Washington and New York.
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Let's check out the top options on today's main slate.
Carlos Rodon ($11,100): If salary isn't an issue, there's no question that Rodon is the night's top overall option. Not only is he rocking a ridiculous 1.70 SIERA and 44.6% strikeout rate, but he's up against a light-hitting Athletics lineup. Throw in run-suppressing Oracle Park, and we get a slate-low 2.56 implied total for Oakland.
Rodon's yet to score fewer than 45 FanDuel points in a start this year, and his pitch count has slowly crept up in every appearance, most recently reaching 95.
It remains to be seen if he can actually stay healthy for a full season, but as long as he's getting the ball every fifth day, we should happily continue to roster him in DFS every week.
He's showing a solid 3.12 SIERA, 25.0% strikeout rate, and 7.1% walk rate through three outings, and his 12.7% swinging-strike rate is actually above his career average.
Due to a lack of innings, Severino hasn't been lighting it up in terms of FanDuel scoring, but after logging 88 pitches in his most recent start, we can have more confidence in his chances of going deeper into games.
Expectations are low for the Orioles tonight (2.91 implied total), and their active roster has the second-highest strikeout rate this season (26.5%).
Kevin Gausman ($10,200): Rodon and Severino are my favorite options tonight, but if you're looking for a third guy in tournaments, Gausman is your man. Although Gausman has the second-highest salary on the board, we're still getting $900 back in our pockets compared to Rodon, which isn't chump change.
The Toronto right-hander is putting up impressive numbers, posting a 2.05 SIERA and 30.1% strikeout rate without issuing a single walk yet. The Blue Jays have been slow to bump up his pitch count, but after reaching 88 the last time out, he's another hurler who's finally close to being fully unleashed.
He made the most out of those 88 pitches, too, holding the Red Sox to one earned run over eight innings while notching eight strikeouts -- good for 55 FanDuel points.
While Gausman gets these same Sox for a second time in a row, which isn't necessarily ideal, this Boston offense has been slow to get things going thus far, as their active roster is just 24th in wRC+ this year. The Red Sox have a modest 3.45 implied total, further suggesting that Gausman could have another good night on tap.
Los Angeles Dodgers: The Dodgers once again have the slate's highest implied total (5.46), and they arguably have an even better matchup tonight.
They're up against Zach Davies, who's produced a ho-hum 18.0% strikeout rate and 9.8% walk rate through three starts. We're also talking about a guy who recorded a 5.36 SIERA across 32 starts in 2021. Not exactly the stuff of nightmares for opposing hitters.
All Dodgers are in play as usual, but Davies performed especially poorly versus left-handed batters last year, putting up a 5.92 xFIP, 15.0% strikeout rate, and 15.0% walk rate.
That gets us on Freddie Freeman ($3,900), Max Muncy ($3,200), and Cody Bellinger ($3,300) as starting points again tonight, and Gavin Lux ($2,800) is a possibility for lower-order or wrap-around stacks.
Lynch had ugly numbers in 2021 -- his first MLB campaign -- including a 5.19 SIERA, 17.7% strikeout rate, and 10.0% walk rate. He also allowed a 39.7% fly-ball rate to right-handed batters, leading to 1.39 home runs per nine innings in the split.
While Lynch has okay underlying metrics over two starts this year, he's still not getting a ton of strikeouts nor inducing many grounders, so there isn't much reason to think he isn't the same guy he was last year.
Honestly, any of the Sox projected to bat in the top two-thirds of the order have some pop, and none of them have a salary above $3,400. Starting at the top, that gives us Tim Anderson ($3,400), Luis Robert ($3,300), Yasmani Grandal ($2,400), Jose Abreu ($3,300), Andrew Vaughn ($2,800), and A.J. Pollock ($2,900).
The Blue Jays face an erratic Nick Pivetta, who they already hit around just last week, while Houston gets Taylor Hearn, a lefty who's struggled with both walks and home runs over his young career. Jordan Lyles has shockingly held his own this season, but the smart bet is on the Yankees taking advantage of a pitcher who's been crushed by the longball for years now.
But the Rangers are right there with these teams, and may even be in the best spot versus Jake Odorizzi.
Odorizzi has really stumbled out of the gates this season, getting wrecked for a 6.24 SIERA while showing a poor 10.2% strikeout rate and 14.3% walk rate. Considering the lack of punchouts and a minuscule 28.6% ground-ball rate, it's probably a small miracle he hasn't given up a home run yet, too.
It's possible the veteran right-hander improves, but it's not like he had strong peripherals in 2021, either, including a 4.62 SIERA and 20.6% strikeout rate.
Outside of Nathaniel Lowe ($3,400), every other hitter in this lineup has a salary of $3,100 or lower, making this an ideal stack to pair with Carlos Rodon. Nearly every batter in this offense has at least average power, and you can roster the first four bats in the order at an average of just $2,750 between Brad Miller ($2,600), Marcus Semien ($3,100), Corey Seager ($2,800), and Mitch Garver ($2,500).
Odorizzi had a 5.20 versus lefties in 2021 and hasn't logged a single strikeout against them yet this year, so give an added boost to lefties like Seager, Miller, and Lowe.