Betting Splits and CBB Sharp Money Picks for Thursday January 4

Wake up with VSiN Daily Morning Bets, a quick 15-minute podcast posted at 7 a.m. ET highlighting the top games and biggest line moves of the day. For a full breakdown of Thursday's betting action be sure to catch the VSiN Market Insights Podcast at 3 p.m. ET.

You can always track the latest odds and betting percentages for every game using our VSiN Betting Splits.

In the meantime, let's examine where smart money is leaning for Thursday's College Basketball slate.

6:30 p.m. ET: Austin Peay at Bellarmine (-2.5, 131.5)

Austin Peay (7-8) has dropped two of their last three games and just fell to Memphis 81-70. Similarly, Bellarmine (4-11) has dropped four straight and just fell to High Point 90-85. This line opened with Bellarmine listed as low as a 1.5-point home favorite. Right off the bat, this opening line speaks volumes. Why is a 4-11 team who has last four straight favored over a 7-8 team? Shouldn't it be the other way around? Sharps have embraced the fishy side and laid the points with the home favorite, steaming Bellarmine up from -1.5 to -2.5. This line movement is especially notable because this is an added or extra game with a 6-digit ID number (game 306543/306544). In other words, it's a line low bet game that the public has zero interest in. So we know based upon the line move that pros have targeted Bellarmine. Bellarmine is only receiving 48% of bets but 59% of money, a sharp "low bets, higher dollars" bet split. Ken Pom has Bellarmine winning by two points (67-65). Bellarmine has a clear edge at the free throw stripe (83% vs 68%). Bellarmine is 3-2 at home this season. Austin Peay is just 1-6 on the road. Bellarmine is -145 on the moneyline. Pros have also leaned over, raising the total from 130.5 to 131.5.

9 p.m. ET: UTEP at New Mexico State (-2, 139.5)

UTEP (8-6) just saw their two-game winning streak come to an end, falling to Seattle 73-61. On the flip side, New Mexico State (6-9) just snapped a three-game losing skid with a 66-62 win over California Baptist. This line opened with New Mexico State listed as a 1-point home favorite. In one of the lowest bet games of they day currently 81% of bets and 93% of money is laying the short spread with the home favorite. This heavy wiseguy support has steamed New Mexico State up from -1 to -1.5. Some shops are even inching up to -2. Ken Pom has New Mexico State winning by one point (70-69). Those looking to follow the "obscure" sharp move but wary of laying the points could instead target New Mexico State on the moneyline -125. New Mexico State is 6-1 at home this season. UTEP is 0-3 on the road. UTEP went 3-10 on the road last season. New Mexico State has the better effective FG percentage (47 vs 45), better 3-point percentage (30 vs 24) and better free throw percentage (72 vs 68). Pros have also leaned under, dropping the total from 140 to 139.5. Currently 26% of bets and 85% of money is on the under, a sharp contrarian under bet split.